Saturday, 6 July 2024

Fixing the property market will be hugely beneficial to the overall economy. With 16 housing ministers since 2010, the outgoing government hasn’t taken the property industry and its impact on the wider market seriously enough. Only time will tell whether the new government will do anything radical to reverse the current housing crisis.”

 UK house prices remained flat in June, with the average price of a residential property dipping by 0.2% monthly, according to the latest Halifax House Price Index. The annual house price growth rate was unchanged at +1.6%. The typical UK home now costs £288,455, down from £288,931 in May.


Northern Ireland saw the strongest property price growth in the UK, rising by 4% annually to £192,457. In England, the North West had the steepest house price inflation at +3.8%, now at £231,351. Scotland's house prices increased by +1.6% to £204,663, while Wales grew by +2.7% to £220,197.


Eastern England was the only UK region to register a decline, with prices down -0.9% to £328,747. London remains the most expensive, averaging £536,306, up +0.9% from last year.


Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax, noted that UK house prices stayed relatively flat for the third month in June, reflecting a subdued market. She highlighted that mortgage affordability remains the biggest challenge but expects gradual easing through lower interest rates and rising incomes.


Industry reactions:

- Amy Reynolds (Antony Roberts): Falling prices are a correction from 2021 highs. Higher borrowing costs make homeownership challenging, and potential increased capital gains tax may lead to more ex-rental properties entering the market.

- Myles Moloney (Chase Buchanan): June’s market remained positive, driven by buyers with larger equity, though first-time buyers are cautious due to political uncertainties.

- Nicky Stevenson (Fine & Country): Despite elevated interest rates and political uncertainty, the property market is expected to remain buoyant, with improved consumer confidence and reduced time to sell properties.

- Jeremy Leaf: The election added to market nervousness, but resilient activity is expected to continue.

- Richard Vickery (Fulfords): June sales were subdued, but July looks promising post-election.

- Iain McKenzie (The Guild of Property Professionals): Despite high interest rates and election run-up, the market has been resilient. Confidence is returning, supported by sustained demand and potential interest rate cuts.

- Sharon Donaldson (Countrywide Scotland): The Scottish market remains resilient, driven by significant demand and strong competition, particularly for family homes.